Throughput forecast

How many work items can be closed by a day in the next 13 weeks, and when a given number of them is done

Forecast of work items closed Time runs from today to 13 weeks from now. Ten thousand simulations draw each day's throughput from the days of the same weekday in the last 13 weeks. Each line joins the cumulative number of work items closed that the given share of the simulations reached or beat, so the surer a line is the fewer work items it promises and the lower it runs: half of the simulations close at least what the top line shows, nineteen in twenty at least what the bottom one shows. Read the chart up and down for how many work items are closed by a day, and across it for when a number of them is done: a horizontal line at a count meets the surer lines later, and a count it never meets is one these 13 weeks cannot promise. 071421282026-09-282026-11-122026-12-28 Work items closed Time